Three open forecasts
Each one is a statement that will turn out true or false, shown with the model’s latest recorded odds.
Apple ships a product with camera image sensors made by Samsung Foundry.60%
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first recorded · before the live record began
as written in the record
Apple is shipping a product with CMOS image sensors fabricated by Samsung Foundry (breaking Sony's iPhone-CIS exclusivity), per SemiAnalysis / credible reporting
Intel raises at least $10B more by selling new shares after June 11, 2026.55%
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last looked
first recorded · before the live record began
as written in the record
Intel raises ≥$10B of additional primary equity capital after 2026-06-11 (a marketed follow-on / ATM program / equity-linked convertible, beyond the government + SoftBank + Nvidia + Altera round already closed), per Intel filings / SemiAnalysis / credible reporting
Apple qualifies or ships a production chip on an Intel Foundry node: 18A, 18A-P or 14A.35%
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first recorded · before the live record began
as written in the record
Apple has qualified or shipped a production chip (any product) on an Intel Foundry node (18A / 18A-P / 14A), per SemiAnalysis / credible reporting
Checked against SemiAnalysis's reporting, company filings, or credible press.
How forecasts are checked